Thursday 5 March 2020

Coronavirus Mortality (Death) rate

Being new (novel), not nearly enough is known about the mortality (death) rate of Coronavirus (CoVID-19). As it stands (at time or writing) the rate differs significantly, affected by location and other factors. Current estimates range from 1% upwards to 4% depending on the source[1].
Seasonal (traditional) flu generally has a low mortality rate of 1% or below (in the USA typically around 0.1%). This has caused so far this year, 32,000,000 infections (individual infections, not individual people infected), resulting in 18,000 deaths[2]. Were these Coronavirus infections, deaths would be around 300,000 at 1%, or 1,280,000 at 4%.

Alternatively, according to a study from Harvard, an estimated 40-70% of the global population may be infected by Coronavirus. If this projection is accurate deaths from COVID-19 will range between 30,000,000 and 200,000,000 individuals.



Footnotes:
[1] According to the Director General of the World Health Orgnaization, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, about 3.4% of COVID cases have died: "Globally, about 3.4% of reported #COVID19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected"- @DrTedros #coronavirus". Alternatively an infection-rate of between 40-70% of the worlds population may be infected.
[2] deaths may not be directly attributed to flu itself, rather that an infection was a contributing aggravation or complication to an existing or underlying illness that lead to death.
[3] 40% = 3,080,000,000, 70% = 5,390,000,000 | 30,900,000 at 1%, 215,600,000 at 4%.

FDA/CDC, N95 Masks & Coronavirus

N95 Respirators and Surgical Masks (Face Masks)

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) does not recommend that the general public wear N95 respirators to protect themselves from respiratory diseases, including coronavirus (COVID-19). The best way to prevent illness is to avoid being exposed to this virus. However, as a reminder, CDC always recommends everyday preventive actions, such as hand washing, to help prevent the spread of respiratory diseases.

WHO guidelines on #CoVID-19 (CoronaVirus)

Official WHO guidelines on managing Coronavirus (CoVID-19).

#WHO #Coronavirus #CoVID19 #CoVID-19